Cardano (ADA) has trailed much of the recent crypto rally, struggling to hold gains above roughly $0.26 even as other large-cap altcoins advanced on easing macro pressures. Yet one analyst sees a familiar setup that could be bullish.
On April 17, market commentator Ali Martinez noted on X that ADA recently found support at $0.249 — a demand zone that has acted as a recurring floor and launchpad for meaningful rebounds. Historically, that level preceded major rallies: after touching $0.249 in September 2023, ADA later surged roughly 200% to about $0.80 in Q1 2024. When price revisited the same area in early 2023, it produced a rally of more than 85%.
Using those precedents as a guide, Martinez suggested the current setup could lead to another sizable move if the zone holds, with potential upside ranging broadly from roughly 80% to as much as 200% in a repeat of past behavior. The flip side is straightforward: a decisive break below $0.249 would undermine that bullish thesis and make a strong recovery less likely.
Price snapshot: at the time of writing ADA trades around $0.2615, up just over 2% in the last 24 hours. That modest gain comes amid signs of easing global market stress — for example, reports that Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz — but Cardano’s short-term performance still lags peers. Over the past week, Ethereum and XRP climbed nearly 10%, while Cardano is up only about 3% and remains down more than 4% on the month, according to CoinGecko.
Bottom line: traders are watching $0.249 closely. If it holds, history suggests the possibility of a meaningful rebound; if it breaks, ADA’s path back to previous highs will likely be more contested.