Key points:
– Buyers are trying to push Bitcoin toward $76,000 but face strong selling pressure.
– Several major altcoins could gain momentum if they clear key overhead resistance.
Buyers are attempting to keep Bitcoin (BTC) above $72,500, but bears are defending higher levels. US spot BTC ETFs showed a mixed week—two days of inflows and two of outflows—yet inflows exceeded outflows, producing weekly net inflows of $576.5 million. That’s constructive, but Glassnode warns BTC must clear the True Market Mean at $78,000 and the short-term holder cost basis at $81,600 to enter a sustainable recovery regime. Until those levels are convincingly surpassed, rallies into that zone are likely to meet selling from recent buyers looking to exit near breakeven, leaving a mid-to-long-term bias tilted to the downside.
Ether (ETH) shows signs of bottoming. The Capriole Macro Index Oscillator reading of -2.42 signals undervaluation; a similar 2022 reading coincided with ETH lows around $1,000–$1,200, suggesting limited downside and greater upside potential.
Here’s a summarized technical look at the top 10 cryptocurrencies and what to watch next.
Bitcoin (BTC)
BTC rose above $73,000 but bulls couldn’t hold gains, indicating bears aim to keep price below $72,000. The 20-day EMA (~$69,587) is turning up and the RSI is positive, which supports a potential rally to $76,000. Sellers are likely to defend $76,000 hard; a decisive close above it would complete an ascending triangle and could target $84,000. Failure to hold support would risk a decline toward the $62,500–$60,000 zone.
Ether (ETH)
ETH is finding support near $2,200, suggesting bulls are trying to flip that level. A rebound above $2,274 would improve the odds of clearing $2,400 and extend a move toward $2,800. If prices fall back below the moving averages, the bullish case weakens and ETH could drop to solid support at $1,916.
XRP
Buyers have been unable to push XRP above the 50-day SMA (~$1.38), showing bears’ resolve. Moving averages are flattening and RSI is slightly bearish. A break and close below $1.27 would resume the downtrend toward $1.11 and possibly down to the descending channel’s support near $0.90. Conversely, a break above the 50-day SMA would favour buyers and could test the downtrend line.
BNB
BNB failed to overcome the 50-day SMA (~$626), indicating selling on rallies. Bears may try to pull BNB below $570 to resume a downtrend toward $500. A close back above the moving averages would keep the pair range-bound; a push above $687 would clear the path to $730 and potentially $790.
Solana (SOL)
SOL has been range-bound between $76 and $98, showing dip-buying and rally-selling. A move above the moving averages could target $98, where sellers likely resist. A decisive break above $98 could reach $117. A break below $76 would open the way to $67.
Dogecoin (DOGE)
DOGE continues to be pressured by the downtrend line and bears. A drop below $0.09 would complete a bearish descending triangle and could push DOGE to $0.08 and then $0.06. Alternatively, a break above the downtrend line would signal buyers defending $0.09 and could lead to a move toward $0.11.
Hyperliquid (HYPE)
HYPE is advancing toward the $41.59–$43.76 resistance zone with the 20-day EMA (~$37.91) turning up and RSI positive, indicating bullish control. A close above the resistance zone could target $50. If sellers pull HYPE below the 50-day SMA (~$35.27), it could fall to $29.42.
Cardano (ADA)
Sellers are defending the 50-day SMA (~$0.26), but bulls are holding $0.25 support. A close above the 50-day SMA would raise odds of a rally to the downtrend line; breaking above that line would signal a potential short-term trend change. A drop below $0.23 would favour bears and could push ADA toward $0.22 and later the $0.16 support line.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
BCH faces resistance at the 20-day EMA (~$451) but bulls have held ground. A break above the 20-day EMA could push BCH to the 50-day SMA (~$465) and then $486; a close above $486 would negate the prior break below $443. If sellers reclaim control and push BCH below $420, the pair may plunge to $375.
Chainlink (LINK)
LINK has been stuck between $8 and $10, signaling equilibrium. Flat moving averages and a neutral RSI give no clear edge. A break above $10 would suggest a new uptrend toward $11.61. A close below $8 would risk resuming the downtrend toward $6.
Outlook
Short-term relief rallies are underway across BTC and several altcoins, but key overhead resistance levels must be convincingly cleared for a sustained bull regime. Watch BTC’s $76,000–$81,600 zone and ETH’s price action around moving averages for signs of a durable shift. Until those resistances are overcome, rallies may remain vulnerable to profit-taking and renewed selling.
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