Bitcoin (BTC) may be poised for increased upside volatility as several technical indicators point toward a potential strong upward move.
Key takeaways:
– Bitcoin’s Bollinger Bands indicate the potential for a major breakout.
– BTC must clear resistance near $80,000 for a sustained rally.
Bollinger Bands suggest Bitcoin’s “bull run is next”
Bitcoin’s monthly Bollinger Bands have compressed to their tightest level on record, a classic precursor to an expansion in volatility. Analyst Cantonese Cat noted the “tightest Bitcoin monthly Bollinger band squeeze, ever,” adding that an expansion of the bands “will lead to a very powerful move.”
Historically, breaks above the upper Bollinger Band preceded substantial rallies: similar setups in 2020 and 2016 led to gains of roughly 520% and 4,400%, respectively. Recently, the BTC/USD pair surged about 230% between December 2023 and August 2025 to a reported all-time high of $126,000 after breaching the upper band.
Coinvo Trading also highlighted that Bitcoin’s monthly RSI is at its lowest since late 2022 while price sits on a multi-year support trendline—conditions that previously marked macro bottoms. The same configuration preceded a 350% rally from the 2022 low to the prior high near $73,800 in March 2024, prompting Coinvo Trading to state, “Bull run is next in line.”
Other bullish signals include a bullish weekly MACD crossover, which supports the view that a breakout may be forming.
Bitcoin must reclaim $80,000 next
A recent 6% rally filled the $74,000–$77,000 CME gap formed over the weekend. Traders are eyeing the next CME gap above $80,000 from early February as a meaningful target.
Michael van de Poppe warned that resistance around $79,000 could temporarily stall momentum: “Likely we’ll test it first, come back down for a little, find extra stamina, and then we’ll push through to $86K.” CoinGlass’s whale order book shows concentrated sell pressure between $78,000–$80,000, underscoring the importance of that zone.
A decisive close above the $76,000–$78,000 resistance area would signal buyer control and could clear the path toward targets around $84,000 and beyond.
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